GoAI Market Wrap - 25th July
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25 กรกฎาคม 2569
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U.S. equities closed mixed on Friday (July 24). The Dow rose 0.46% to 51,947.25; the S&P 500 gained 0.05% to 7,411.98; and the Nasdaq fell 0.64% to 24,975.82. Philly Semi dropped 4.25% as chip stocks sold off. Pakistan called for a U.S.-Iran ceasefire, pulling oil off its highs. WTI fell 3.12% and Brent fell 3.88%, though both remain up ~9.85% on the week.
Daily Market Brief · Saturday, July 25, 2026
U.S. Market Close
DJIA51,947.25▲ 0.46%
S&P 5007,411.98▲ 0.05%
NASDAQ24,975.82▼ 0.64%
GoAI Sentiment Index
Score: 45 — Mild Fear
45 Mild Fear. Philly Semi fell 4.25% on Friday as chip stocks sold off. Nasdaq slipped 0.64% while Dow eked out a 0.46% gain. Oil prices pulled back on Pakistan's ceasefire call, but Middle East risks and a potential Fed hike keep sentiment subdued.
Key Headlines
SEMICONDUCTORS
All 30 Philadelphia Semiconductor Index Stocks Close in the Red
TECH / STORAGE
SanDisk Plunges More Than 10%
TECH / SEMICONDUCTORS
Qualcomm to Raise Product Prices by Double-Digit Percentages
Market Analysis
U.S. equities closed mixed on Friday (July 24). The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.46% to 51,947.25; the S&P 500 gained 0.05% to 7,411.98; and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.64% to 24,975.82.
Apple (+3.53%), IBM (+3.65%), and Salesforce (+4.29%) led gains among the Dow’s 30 components, helping the index outperform its peers. The semiconductor sector weighed heavily on the Nasdaq, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index closing down 4.25%.
Earlier in the session, Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry held a press conference calling on the U.S. and Iran to halt military conflict and resume technical-level negotiations. Pakistan also condemned Houthi forces for posing a “persistent threat” to Saudi Arabia and commercial vessels transiting the Red Sea.
On this news, U.S. equities rallied sharply in early trading and international oil prices pulled back significantly. WTI crude futures for September settled down 3.12%, while Brent crude fell 3.88%, though both remained up roughly 9.85% on the week due to ongoing Middle East tensions.
For the week, the Dow fell 0.38%, its third consecutive weekly decline. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped 0.61% and 2.13% respectively, both posting a second straight weekly loss.
Intraday, President Trump said the U.S. could continue its current approach or escalate strikes more rapidly. Analysts noted that traders appeared reluctant to add equity exposure given the risk of intensified attacks on Iran over the weekend.
Bill Northey, CIO at U.S. Bank Asset Management Group, commented: “What is happening in the Middle East has the potential to create real economic impact on oil and gas flows and affect the global economy’s ability to absorb this situation.”
Scott Ladner, CIO at Horizon Investments, said: “Markets are rattled by the Middle East conflict—that’s not new—but the real change is that surging oil prices have triggered trader concerns about inflation and interest rates.”
Key Takeaway: Markets closed mixed as Pakistan’s ceasefire call offered temporary relief, pulling oil off its highs. The Dow eked out a gain led by Apple, IBM and Salesforce, but chip stocks dragged the Nasdaq lower for a second straight weekly loss. Traders remain cautious ahead of a potentially volatile weekend.
Apple (+3.53%), IBM (+3.65%), and Salesforce (+4.29%) led gains among the Dow’s 30 components, helping the index outperform its peers. The semiconductor sector weighed heavily on the Nasdaq, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index closing down 4.25%.
Earlier in the session, Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry held a press conference calling on the U.S. and Iran to halt military conflict and resume technical-level negotiations. Pakistan also condemned Houthi forces for posing a “persistent threat” to Saudi Arabia and commercial vessels transiting the Red Sea.
On this news, U.S. equities rallied sharply in early trading and international oil prices pulled back significantly. WTI crude futures for September settled down 3.12%, while Brent crude fell 3.88%, though both remained up roughly 9.85% on the week due to ongoing Middle East tensions.
For the week, the Dow fell 0.38%, its third consecutive weekly decline. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped 0.61% and 2.13% respectively, both posting a second straight weekly loss.
Intraday, President Trump said the U.S. could continue its current approach or escalate strikes more rapidly. Analysts noted that traders appeared reluctant to add equity exposure given the risk of intensified attacks on Iran over the weekend.
Bill Northey, CIO at U.S. Bank Asset Management Group, commented: “What is happening in the Middle East has the potential to create real economic impact on oil and gas flows and affect the global economy’s ability to absorb this situation.”
Scott Ladner, CIO at Horizon Investments, said: “Markets are rattled by the Middle East conflict—that’s not new—but the real change is that surging oil prices have triggered trader concerns about inflation and interest rates.”
Key Takeaway: Markets closed mixed as Pakistan’s ceasefire call offered temporary relief, pulling oil off its highs. The Dow eked out a gain led by Apple, IBM and Salesforce, but chip stocks dragged the Nasdaq lower for a second straight weekly loss. Traders remain cautious ahead of a potentially volatile weekend.
Key Events
Trump Threatens Tariffs on Canada Over Wildfire Smoke, on Mexico Over “Problem Lettuce”
On July 24, President Trump told reporters at the White House that he would impose additional tariffs on Canada in retaliation for wildfire smoke drifting into the U.S., and on Mexico over allegedly contaminated lettuce. The remarks underscore the administration’s continued use of tariffs as a broad policy lever.
Microsoft, Nvidia & Tech Giants Back Open-Weight AI to Maintain U.S. Competitiveness
Microsoft President Brad Smith and executives from Nvidia, Meta, IBM, and other AI firms co-authored “Open Weights and American AI Leadership,” urging support for open-weight AI models. They argue that an open ecosystem broadens AI adoption and preserves competitive advantage for U.S. companies globally.
Qualcomm to Raise Product Prices by Double-Digit Percentages Starting September 1
Qualcomm notified customers that rising costs will force it to increase product prices by double-digit percentages, effective for shipments after September 1. The company stated it has exhausted its ability to absorb supplier cost increases and has already sought alternative components from new supply channels.
Commodities
NYMEX WTI Crude▼ 3.12%
ICE Brent Crude▼ 3.88%
COMEX Gold▲ 0.11%
COMEX Silver▲ 1.10%
LME Copper▲ 0.32%
LME Aluminum▼ 0.83%
LME Nickel▼ 0.38%
LME Zinc▲ 0.11%
Forex
EUR/USD1.1370▼ 0.06%
GBP/USD1.3326▲ 0.06%
USD/JPY163.84▲ 0.02%
USD/CNY6.7714▼ 0.07%
Key Event: The dollar traded mixed as oil pulled back on Pakistan's ceasefire call. EUR/USD dipped 0.06% to 1.1370, while GBP/USD edged up 0.06% to 1.3326. USD/JPY rose 0.02% to 163.84 as yen remained under pressure. USD/CNY eased 0.02% to 6.7714 as China's currency found modest support.
Sector Intelligence
HEALTH CARE & CONSUMER STAPLES
Health Care Select SPDR (XLV)$161.44▲ 1.25%
Consumer Staples Select SPDR (XLP)$83.91▼ 0.56%
Key Drivers: Health care outperformed as investors rotated defensively amid chip-sector selloff. XLV rose on strong pharma and managed care earnings. Consumer staples slipped as falling oil prices eased inflation fears, reducing demand for defensive positioning.
Outlook: Defensive sectors may attract continued inflows if semiconductor volatility persists. Health care benefits from resilient earnings and aging demographics, while staples face headwinds from slowing consumer spending.
Outlook: Defensive sectors may attract continued inflows if semiconductor volatility persists. Health care benefits from resilient earnings and aging demographics, while staples face headwinds from slowing consumer spending.
SHIPPING & LOGISTICS
Baltic Dry Index (Jul 24)2,743 ▲ 0.66%
Drewry WCI (Jul 23)$4,374 ▼ 4.00%
Market Dynamics: The Baltic Dry Index rose 0.66% to 2,743 on July 24, its highest level since July 17. Meanwhile, the Drewry World Container Index (WCI) fell 4% to $4,374 per 40ft container for the week of July 23.
Outlook: Dry bulk freight rates are finding near-term support as vessel demand stabilizes. In the container segment, the SCFI eased 0.56% to 3,062.95 for the week of July 24, signaling that the sharp upward momentum in trans-Pacific lanes is beginning to plateau as peak-season demand moderates.
Outlook: Dry bulk freight rates are finding near-term support as vessel demand stabilizes. In the container segment, the SCFI eased 0.56% to 3,062.95 for the week of July 24, signaling that the sharp upward momentum in trans-Pacific lanes is beginning to plateau as peak-season demand moderates.
Institutional Views
BlackRockBULLISH
Remains risk-on despite Middle East escalation. Expects S&P 500 earnings to grow 25% in 2026. Prefers U.S. equities over long-term government bonds as AI investment boom stays intact and earnings outpace rising cost of capital.
UBSBULLISH
Maintains positive outlook for global equities over the next 6 months. Sees AI-driven growth and cyclical sector catch-up broadening market leadership. Favors diversified exposure across U.S., European, and Asian equities.
J.P. MorganCONSTRUCTIVE
Forecasts double-digit gains across developed and emerging markets in 2026. Sees Middle East tensions as a near-term risk but notes that EM equities and fixed income may emerge as return drivers as geopolitical dynamics evolve.
Digital Assets (24h)
Bitcoin (BTC)$64,081.62▼ 1.01%
Ethereum (ETH)$1,861.14▼ 0.07%
XRP$1.09▼ 1.12%
Solana (SOL)$74.05▼ 2.11%
GoAI Performance
Today’s Live P&L
SPY (Benchmark)▼ 0.41%
GoAI Portfolio▲ 0.06%
Alpha vs SPY▲ 0.47%
Positions68 / 68
Performance Metrics
Total Return (TWR, YTD)▲ 39.24%
Win Rate (39/69)56.5%
Our AI-driven approach combines real-time sentiment analysis with fundamental rigor to identify high-conviction opportunities.
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