/AA
AA Stock - Alcoa Corporation
Basic Materials|AluminumNYSE
$51.25+6.37%
+$3.07 (+6.37%) • Dec 19
51
GoAI Score
GoAI Score
Weighted average: Momentum (25%) + Sentiment (35%) + Risk (20%) + Value (20%). ≥70 = BUY, ≤35 = SELL.HOLD
Medium Confidence
Momentum
Momentum Score
Based on price vs 50-day MA (40%), 200-day MA (40%), and MA crossover (20%). Higher = stronger uptrend.99
Sentiment
Sentiment Score
Based on analyst price target upside. 50 = neutral, 100 = very bullish (25%+ upside expected).24
Risk Score
Risk Score
Based on stock beta (volatility). Higher score = lower risk. Red (<40) = high volatility, Green (>60) = stable.40
Price Target
Price Target
Average analyst price target from the last quarter. Shows expected upside/downside from current price.+-13.0%upside
Target: $44.59
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ENTRY ZONE$50.74 – $51.76
TARGET (TP)$44.57
STOP LOSS$47.15
RISK/REWARD1:-1.6
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Price Chart
Financial Statements
Revenue & Profitability Trend
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Revenue
Net Income (Profit)
Net Loss
Key Metrics
Market CapN/A
P/E RatioN/A
Beta2.00
52W High$51.67
52W Low$21.53
Avg VolumeN/A
Income Statement (Fiscal Year)
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.18B | $10.71B | $12.76B | $12.44B | $9.37B |
| Gross Profit | $1.50B | $241.00M | $1.93B | $2.62B | $765.00M |
| Gross Margin | 12.3% | 2.3% | 15.1% | 21.1% | 8.2% |
| Operating Income | $1.17B | $-24,000,000 | $1.70B | $2.36B | $532.00M |
| Net Income | $60.00M | $-651,000,000 | $-123,000,000 | $429.00M | $-170,000,000 |
| Net Margin | 0.5% | -6.1% | -1.0% | 3.4% | -1.8% |
| EPS | $0.28 | $-3.65 | $-0.57 | $2.30 | $-0.91 |
Company Overview
Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Iceland, Norway, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum. It engages in bauxite mining operations; and processes bauxite into alumina and sells it to customers who process it into industrial chemical products, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company offers primary aluminum in the form of alloy ingot or value-add ingot to customers that produce products for the transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire, and other industrial markets. In addition, it owns hydro power plants that generates and sells electricity in the wholesale market to traders, large industrial consumers, distribution companies, and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in October 2016. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Visit WebsiteRating Distribution
Strong Buy
0%
Buy / Outperform
8
35%
Hold / Neutral
12
52%
Sell / Underperform
3
13%
Analyst Consensus🔴 Bearish
8 Bullish15 Neutral/Bearish
Price Targets
$45
Average Target
↓ 13.0% Downside
Now
$25
Low
$45
Average
$84
High
Based on 27 analysts
Recent Analyst Actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 8th 2025 | Wells Fargo | Initiation | Overweight | $40 |
| July 8th 2025 | Citigroup | Resumed | Buy | $42 |
| May 15th 2025 | UBS | Downgrade | Neutral | $31 |
| April 8th 2025 | BofA Securities | Downgrade | Underperform | $26 |
| October 23rd 2024 | Argus | Upgrade | Buy | $48 |
| October 17th 2024 | B. Riley Securities | Upgrade | Buy | $50← $41 |
| October 1st 2024 | BofA Securities | Upgrade | Buy | $52← $43 |
| September 25th 2024 | JP Morgan | Resumed | Neutral | $36← $32 |
| September 4th 2024 | Wolfe Research | Upgrade | Outperform | $36 |
| August 12th 2024 | UBS | Upgrade | Buy | $38← $32 |
| August 2nd 2024 | Wolfe Research | Upgrade | Peer Perform | - |
| June 21st 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Overweight | $50← $36.5 |
| April 22nd 2024 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Equal Weight | $36.5← $28.5 |
| January 16th 2024 | UBS | Initiation | Sell | $29 |
| December 7th 2023 | HSBC Securities | Initiation | Hold | $29 |
Earnings History & Surprises
AABeat Rate
78%
Last 18 quarters
Avg Surprise
-16.8%
EPS vs Estimate
Beats / Misses
14/4
Last 12 quarters
Latest EPS
$-0.02
Q4 2025
EPS Surprise History
Q1 24
+43.4%
$-0.56vs$-0.99
Q2 24
-26.4%
$-0.81vs$-0.64
Q3 24
+107.8%
$0.16vs$0.08
Q4 24
+128.6%
$0.57vs$0.25
Q1 25
+11.8%
$1.04vs$0.93
Q2 25
+28.0%
$2.15vs$1.68
Q3 25
+21.0%
$0.39vs$0.32
Q4 25
+86.7%
$-0.02vs$-0.15
Beat Estimate
Missed Estimate
Quarterly EPS Details
| Period | Report Date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Q2 2026 | Apr 14, 2026 | — | — | — | — |
Q1 2026 | Jan 22, 2026 | $0.98 | — | — | — |
Q4 2025 | Oct 22, 2025 | $-0.15 | $-0.02 | +86.7% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2025 | Jul 16, 2025 | $0.32 | $0.39 | +21.0% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2025 | Apr 16, 2025 | $1.68 | $2.15 | +28.0% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2025 | Jan 22, 2025 | $0.93 | $1.04 | +11.8% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2024 | Oct 16, 2024 | $0.25 | $0.57 | +128.6% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2024 | Jul 17, 2024 | $0.08 | $0.16 | +107.8% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2024 | Apr 17, 2024 | $-0.64 | $-0.81 | -26.4% | ✗ MISS |
Q1 2024 | Jan 17, 2024 | $-0.99 | $-0.56 | +43.4% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2023 | Oct 18, 2023 | $-1.13 | $-1.14 | -0.9% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2023 | Jul 19, 2023 | $-0.59 | $-0.35 | +40.7% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2023 | Apr 19, 2023 | $-0.05 | $-0.23 | -360.0% | ✗ MISS |
Q1 2023 | Jan 18, 2023 | $-0.85 | $-0.70 | +17.6% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2022 | Oct 19, 2022 | $0.09 | $-0.33 | -466.7% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2022 | Jul 20, 2022 | $2.31 | $2.67 | +15.6% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2022 | Apr 20, 2022 | $2.93 | $3.06 | +4.4% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2022 | Jan 19, 2022 | $2.04 | $2.50 | +22.5% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2021 | Oct 14, 2021 | $1.80 | $2.05 | +13.9% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2021 | Jul 15, 2021 | $1.37 | $1.49 | +8.8% | ✓ BEAT |
Latest News
Citigroup Maintains Buy on Alcoa, Raises Price Target to $54
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Dec 19, 2025, 06:47 PM•Also:
UBS Maintains Neutral on Alcoa, Raises Price Target to $48
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Dec 12, 2025, 09:24 PM•Also:
Alcoa Option Alert: Jan 16 $45 Calls Sweep (7) Near The Ask: 10000 @ $2.259 Vs 5533 OI; Earnings 1/21 After Close [Est] Ref=$44.07
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Dec 10, 2025, 07:58 PM
JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Alcoa, Raises Price Target to $45
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Dec 5, 2025, 03:18 PM
Houston American Energy Corp Announces Name Change To Abundia Global Impact Group Inc Around December 8, 2025, And Will Begin Trading Under The New Ticker AGIG On NYSE
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Nov 25, 2025, 01:35 PM•Also: ,
Shares of aluminum-related stocks are trading higher amid a rise in aluminum prices as US inventories fall.
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Nov 12, 2025, 08:33 PM•Also: ,
Alcoa, Ball, Unilever To Roll Out ELYSIS Carbon-Free Smelting Technology
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Nov 6, 2025, 01:17 PM•Also:
Freeport-McMoRan, Alcoa rally alongside rising copper, aluminum prices
📈 PositiveSeeking Alpha•Oct 23, 2025, 04:52 PM•Also: , ,
JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Alcoa, Raises Price Target to $35
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 23, 2025, 03:45 PM
Alcoa shares are trading higher, reversing after falling on Wednesday following a Q3 earnings miss.
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Oct 23, 2025, 03:40 PM
Alcoa rises despite mixed Q3, as high U.S. aluminum prices helped offset tariff hit
📈 PositiveSeeking Alpha•Oct 23, 2025, 12:37 PM
BMO Capital Maintains Market Perform on Alcoa, Raises Price Target to $37
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 23, 2025, 12:25 PM
Alcoa Corp Says In Q4 2025, Aluminum Segment Expects Unfavorable Impacts Of About $20M Due To Restart Inefficiencies At The San Ciprián Smelter
📉 NegativeBenzinga•Oct 22, 2025, 09:07 PM
Alcoa Q3 Adj. EPS $(0.02) Misses $0.01 Estimate, Sales $2.995B Miss $3.131B Estimate
📉 NegativeBenzinga•Oct 22, 2025, 08:11 PM
Alcoa Announces 10-Year Energy Contract With New York Power Authority To Support Its Massena Operations, Effective April 1, 2026; Company Investing Roughly $60M Through 2028 To Upgrade Massena's Anode Baking Furnace
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Oct 22, 2025, 12:34 PM
Alcoa, U.S., Australia, Japan And Sojitz Advance Joint Venture To Build Gallium Plant At Wagerup Refinery; Special Purpose Vehicle To Produce 100 Metric Tons Annually with Shared Offtake Rights
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Oct 20, 2025, 09:09 PM
HSBC Maintains Buy on Alcoa, Raises Price Target to $41
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Oct 17, 2025, 02:55 PM•Also:
JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Alcoa, Raises Price Target to $34
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 9, 2025, 12:45 PM•Also:
Alcoa shares are trading higher after Wells Fargo initiated coverage on the stock with an Overweight rating and announced a $40 price target. Also, Morgan Stanley raised its price target on the stock from $38 to $42.5.
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Oct 8, 2025, 03:54 PM
Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight on Alcoa, Raises Price Target to $42.5
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Oct 8, 2025, 03:12 PM
Frequently Asked Questions about AA
What is AA's current stock price?
Alcoa Corporation (AA) is currently trading at $51.25 per share. The stock has moved +6.37% today.
What is the analyst price target for AA?
The average analyst price target for AA is $44.57, based on 1 analyst.
What sector is Alcoa Corporation in?
Alcoa Corporation operates in the Basic Materials sector, specifically within the Aluminum industry. The company is traded on the NYSE exchange.
What is AA's market cap?
Alcoa Corporation has a market capitalization of $13.27 billion, making it a large-cap company.
Does AA pay dividends?
No, Alcoa Corporation does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.
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