/ARI
ARI Stock - Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
Real Estate|REIT - MortgageNYSE
$10.03-0.89%
$0.09 (-0.89%) • Dec 19
55
GoAI Score
GoAI Score
Weighted average: Momentum (25%) + Sentiment (35%) + Risk (20%) + Value (20%). ≥70 = BUY, ≤35 = SELL.HOLD
Medium Confidence
Momentum
Momentum Score
Based on price vs 50-day MA (40%), 200-day MA (40%), and MA crossover (20%). Higher = stronger uptrend.53
Sentiment
Sentiment Score
Based on analyst price target upside. 50 = neutral, 100 = very bullish (25%+ upside expected).59
Risk Score
Risk Score
Based on stock beta (volatility). Higher score = lower risk. Red (<40) = high volatility, Green (>60) = stable.57
Price Target
Price Target
Average analyst price target from the last quarter. Shows expected upside/downside from current price.+4.7%upside
Target: $10.50
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Active Trade Setup
ENTRY ZONE$9.93 – $10.13
TARGET (TP)$10.50
STOP LOSS$9.23
RISK/REWARD1:0.6
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Price Chart
Financial Statements
Revenue & Profitability Trend
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Revenue
Net Income (Profit)
Net Loss
Key Metrics
Market CapN/A
P/E RatioN/A
Beta1.57
52W High$11.11
52W Low$7.70
Avg VolumeN/A
Income Statement (Fiscal Year)
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $701.53M | $285.16M | $641.34M | $319.28M | $113.70M |
| Gross Profit | $572.06M | $212.40M | $268.89M | $299.36M | $113.70M |
| Gross Margin | 81.5% | 74.5% | 41.9% | 93.8% | 100.0% |
| Operating Income | $417.69M | $144.91M | $649.66M | $232.36M | $47.10M |
| Net Income | $-119,636,000 | $58.13M | $265.23M | $223.51M | $18.38M |
| Net Margin | -17.1% | 20.4% | 41.4% | 70.0% | 16.2% |
| EPS | $-0.97 | $0.29 | $1.77 | $1.48 | $0.01 |
Company Overview
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments in the United States. It is qualified as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income taxes, if the company distributes at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its stockholders. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in New York, New York.
Visit WebsiteRating Distribution
Strong Buy
0%
Buy / Outperform
2
25%
Hold / Neutral
5
63%
Sell / Underperform
1
13%
Analyst Consensus🔴 Bearish
2 Bullish6 Neutral/Bearish
Price Targets
$11
Average Target
↑ 7.2% Upside
Now
$10
Low
$11
Average
$12
High
Based on 8 analysts
Recent Analyst Actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 20th 2025 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Overweight | $10.5 |
| April 23rd 2025 | BTIG Research | Upgrade | Buy | $11 |
| April 7th 2025 | Keefe Bruyette | Upgrade | Outperform | $10 |
| July 19th 2024 | BTIG Research | Resumed | Neutral | - |
| March 4th 2024 | BofA Securities | Downgrade | Underperform | $10.5 |
| December 6th 2023 | UBS | Initiation | Neutral | $10.5 |
| August 2nd 2023 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Neutral | $10.5 |
| April 25th 2023 | BTIG Research | Resumed | Neutral | - |
| November 21st 2022 | BofA Securities | Resumed | Neutral | $12 |
| September 6th 2022 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Underweight | $11← $12.5 |
Earnings History & Surprises
ARIBeat Rate
61%
Last 18 quarters
Avg Surprise
-0.2%
EPS vs Estimate
Beats / Misses
11/5
2 met exactly
Latest EPS
$0.30
Q4 2025
EPS Surprise History
Q1 24
+5.9%
$0.36vs$0.34
Q2 24
0.0%
$0.35vs$0.35
Q3 24
+2.9%
$0.35vs$0.34
Q4 24
+24.0%
$0.31vs$0.25
Q1 25
+39.1%
$0.32vs$0.23
Q2 25
-4.0%
$0.24vs$0.25
Q3 25
0.0%
$0.26vs$0.26
Q4 25
+21.4%
$0.30vs$0.25
Beat Estimate
Missed Estimate
Quarterly EPS Details
| Period | Report Date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Q2 2026 | Apr 22, 2026 | — | — | — | — |
Q1 2026 | Feb 9, 2026 | $0.26 | — | — | — |
Q4 2025 | Oct 30, 2025 | $0.25 | $0.30 | +21.4% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2025 | Jul 29, 2025 | $0.26 | $0.26 | 0.0% | = MET |
Q2 2025 | Apr 24, 2025 | $0.25 | $0.24 | -4.0% | ✗ MISS |
Q1 2025 | Feb 10, 2025 | $0.23 | $0.32 | +39.1% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2024 | Oct 30, 2024 | $0.25 | $0.31 | +24.0% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2024 | Aug 6, 2024 | $0.34 | $0.35 | +2.9% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2024 | Apr 29, 2024 | $0.35 | $0.35 | 0.0% | = MET |
Q1 2024 | Feb 6, 2024 | $0.34 | $0.36 | +5.9% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2023 | Oct 30, 2023 | $0.35 | $0.37 | +5.7% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2023 | Jul 31, 2023 | $0.41 | $-0.11 | -126.8% | ✗ MISS |
Q2 2023 | Apr 26, 2023 | $0.43 | $0.48 | +11.6% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2023 | Feb 8, 2023 | $0.36 | $0.31 | -13.9% | ✗ MISS |
Q4 2022 | Oct 24, 2022 | $0.36 | $0.37 | +2.8% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2022 | Jul 26, 2022 | $0.30 | $0.35 | +16.7% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2022 | Apr 25, 2022 | $0.33 | $0.35 | +6.1% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2022 | Feb 8, 2022 | $0.33 | $0.32 | -3.0% | ✗ MISS |
Q4 2021 | Oct 25, 2021 | $0.36 | $0.35 | -2.8% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2021 | Jul 26, 2021 | $0.37 | $0.41 | +10.8% | ✓ BEAT |
Latest News
JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on Apollo Comml Real Est, Raises Price Target to $11
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Nov 3, 2025, 03:13 PM
Apollo Comml Real Est Q3 Adj. EPS $0.30 Beats $0.21 Estimate, Sales $40.035M Miss $47.733M Estimate
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 30, 2025, 08:24 PM
JP Morgan Upgrades Apollo Comml Real Est to Overweight, Raises Price Target to $10.5
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Oct 20, 2025, 10:52 AM
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Outperform on Apollo Comml Real Est, Raises Price Target to $11
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Oct 9, 2025, 04:57 PM
Frequently Asked Questions about ARI
What is ARI's current stock price?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) is currently trading at $10.03 per share. The stock has moved -0.89% today.
What is the analyst price target for ARI?
The average analyst price target for ARI is $10.50, based on 1 analyst.
What sector is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. in?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates in the Real Estate sector, specifically within the REIT - Mortgage industry. The company is traded on the NYSE exchange.
What is ARI's market cap?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.39 billion, making it a small-cap company.
Does ARI pay dividends?
No, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.
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