/FWRG
FWRG Stock - First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical|RestaurantsNASDAQ
$16.21-5.76%
$0.99 (-5.76%) • Dec 19
71
GoAI Score
GoAI Score
Weighted average: Momentum (25%) + Sentiment (35%) + Risk (20%) + Value (20%). ≥70 = BUY, ≤35 = SELL.BUY
Medium Confidence
Momentum
Momentum Score
Based on price vs 50-day MA (40%), 200-day MA (40%), and MA crossover (20%). Higher = stronger uptrend.34
Sentiment
Sentiment Score
Based on analyst price target upside. 50 = neutral, 100 = very bullish (25%+ upside expected).100
Risk Score
Risk Score
Based on stock beta (volatility). Higher score = lower risk. Red (<40) = high volatility, Green (>60) = stable.85
Price Target
Price Target
Average analyst price target from the last quarter. Shows expected upside/downside from current price.+27.1%upside
Target: $20.60
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ENTRY ZONE$16.05 – $16.37
TARGET (TP)$20.60
STOP LOSS$14.91
RISK/REWARD1:3.4
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Price Chart
Financial Statements
Revenue & Profitability Trend
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Revenue
Net Income (Profit)
Net Loss
Key Metrics
Market CapN/A
P/E RatioN/A
Beta0.87
52W High$22.71
52W Low$12.90
Avg VolumeN/A
Income Statement (Fiscal Year)
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.02B | $891.55M | $730.16M | $601.19M | $342.39M |
| Gross Profit | $792.81M | $190.12M | $139.53M | $124.23M | $29.88M |
| Gross Margin | 78.0% | 21.3% | 19.1% | 20.7% | 8.7% |
| Operating Income | $38.91M | $41.27M | $16.91M | $22.24M | $-47,222,000 |
| Net Income | $18.93M | $25.39M | $6.91M | $-2,107,000 | $-49,681,000 |
| Net Margin | 1.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | -0.4% | -14.5% |
| EPS | $0.31 | $0.43 | $0.12 | $-0.04 | $-0.86 |
Company Overview
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. operates and franchises restaurants under the First Watch trade name. As of March 23, 2022, it operated 341 company-owned restaurants and 94 franchised restaurants in 28 states in the United States. The company was formerly known as AI Fresh Super Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. in December 2019. First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Bradenton, Florida.
Visit WebsiteRating Distribution
Strong Buy
1
20%
Buy / Outperform
3
60%
Hold / Neutral
1
20%
Sell / Underperform
0%
Analyst Consensus🟢 Bullish
4 Bullish1 Neutral/Bearish
Price Targets
$21
Average Target
↑ 28.7% Upside
Now
$17
Low
$21
Average
$23
High
Based on 7 analysts
Recent Analyst Actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 1st 2025 | TD Cowen | Upgrade | Buy | $22 |
| October 17th 2024 | Stephens | Initiation | Overweight | $20 |
| August 27th 2024 | The Benchmark Company | Initiation | Buy | $23 |
| January 4th 2024 | Stifel | Downgrade | Hold | $20← $22 |
| October 18th 2023 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Strong Buy | $22← $24 |
| July 18th 2023 | Piper Sandler | Initiation | Overweight | $22 |
| April 12th 2022 | Citigroup | Resumed | Buy | $17← $22 |
Earnings History & Surprises
FWRGBeat Rate
63%
Last 16 quarters
Avg Surprise
+23.6%
EPS vs Estimate
Beats / Misses
10/6
Last 12 quarters
Latest EPS
$0.05
Q4 2025
EPS Surprise History
Q1 24
+11.1%
$0.04vs$0.04
Q2 24
+20.0%
$0.12vs$0.10
Q3 24
+16.7%
$0.14vs$0.12
Q4 24
-40.0%
$0.03vs$0.05
Q1 25
-50.0%
$0.01vs$0.02
Q2 25
-125.0%
$-0.01vs$0.04
Q3 25
-57.1%
$0.03vs$0.07
Q4 25
-37.5%
$0.05vs$0.08
Beat Estimate
Missed Estimate
Quarterly EPS Details
| Period | Report Date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Q2 2026 | May 4, 2026 | — | — | — | — |
Q1 2026 | Mar 10, 2026 | $0.10 | — | — | — |
Q4 2025 | Nov 4, 2025 | $0.08 | $0.05 | -37.5% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2025 | Aug 5, 2025 | $0.07 | $0.03 | -57.1% | ✗ MISS |
Q2 2025 | May 6, 2025 | $0.04 | $-0.01 | -125.0% | ✗ MISS |
Q1 2025 | Mar 11, 2025 | $0.02 | $0.01 | -50.0% | ✗ MISS |
Q4 2024 | Nov 7, 2024 | $0.05 | $0.03 | -40.0% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2024 | Aug 6, 2024 | $0.12 | $0.14 | +16.7% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2024 | May 7, 2024 | $0.10 | $0.12 | +20.0% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2024 | Mar 5, 2024 | $0.04 | $0.04 | +11.1% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2023 | Nov 1, 2023 | $0.04 | $0.09 | +127.1% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2023 | Aug 1, 2023 | $0.08 | $0.13 | +62.5% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2023 | May 2, 2023 | $0.09 | $0.15 | +66.7% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2023 | Mar 7, 2023 | $-0.00 | $-0.01 | -140.4% | ✗ MISS |
Q4 2022 | Nov 7, 2022 | — | $0.00 | — | — |
Q3 2022 | Aug 9, 2022 | $0.04 | $0.05 | +36.6% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2022 | May 10, 2022 | $0.05 | $0.08 | +60.0% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2022 | Mar 23, 2022 | $-0.09 | $-0.08 | +11.1% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2021 | Nov 8, 2021 | $0.00 | $0.02 | +415.5% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2021 | Oct 4, 2021 | — | $0.07 | — | — |
Latest News
First Watch Restaurant Group Files For Offering Of Up To 5.3M Shares Of Common Stock By Selling Stockholders
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Nov 5, 2025, 09:42 PM•Also:
First Watch Restaurant Group shares are trading higher after the company reported better-than-expected Q3 sales results.
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Nov 4, 2025, 02:00 PM
First Watch Restaurant Group pops as it boosts guidance on strong sales
📈 PositiveSeeking Alpha•Nov 4, 2025, 01:29 PM
First Watch Restaurant Group Sees FY2025 Total Revenue Growth Of 20.0%-21.0%
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Nov 4, 2025, 12:04 PM
First Watch Restaurant Gr Q3 EPS $0.05 Misses $0.06 Estimate, Sales $316.000M Beat $308.823M Estimate
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Nov 4, 2025, 12:01 PM
First Watch Restaurant Group rallies with strong growth still on the menu
📈 PositiveSeeking Alpha•Aug 5, 2025, 12:24 PM
Frequently Asked Questions about FWRG
What is FWRG's current stock price?
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) is currently trading at $16.21 per share. The stock has moved -5.76% today.
What is the analyst price target for FWRG?
The average analyst price target for FWRG is $20.60, based on 1 analyst.
What sector is First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. in?
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically within the Restaurants industry. The company is traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What is FWRG's market cap?
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. has a market capitalization of $0.99 billion, making it a small-cap company.
Does FWRG pay dividends?
No, First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.
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