/TOL
TOL Stock - Toll Brothers, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical|Residential ConstructionNYSE
$139.79+0.21%
+$0.30 (+0.21%) • Dec 19
67
GoAI Score
GoAI Score
Weighted average: Momentum (25%) + Sentiment (35%) + Risk (20%) + Value (20%). ≥70 = BUY, ≤35 = SELL.HOLD
Medium Confidence
Momentum
Momentum Score
Based on price vs 50-day MA (40%), 200-day MA (40%), and MA crossover (20%). Higher = stronger uptrend.76
Sentiment
Sentiment Score
Based on analyst price target upside. 50 = neutral, 100 = very bullish (25%+ upside expected).71
Risk Score
Risk Score
Based on stock beta (volatility). Higher score = lower risk. Red (<40) = high volatility, Green (>60) = stable.64
Price Target
Price Target
Average analyst price target from the last quarter. Shows expected upside/downside from current price.+10.3%upside
Target: $154.19
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ENTRY ZONE$138.39 – $141.19
TARGET (TP)$154.14
STOP LOSS$128.61
RISK/REWARD1:1.3
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Price Chart
Financial Statements
Revenue & Profitability Trend
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Revenue
Net Income (Profit)
Net Loss
Key Metrics
Market CapN/A
P/E RatioN/A
Beta1.39
52W High$149.79
52W Low$86.67
Avg VolumeN/A
Income Statement (Fiscal Year)
| Metric | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.97B | $10.85B | $9.99B | $10.28B | $8.79B |
| Gross Profit | $2.85B | $3.02B | $2.63B | $2.49B | $1.94B |
| Gross Margin | 26.0% | 27.9% | 26.4% | 24.2% | 22.1% |
| Operating Income | $1.72B | $2.04B | $1.72B | $1.51B | $1.02B |
| Net Income | $1.35B | $1.57B | $1.37B | $1.29B | $833.63M |
| Net Margin | 12.3% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 9.5% |
| EPS | $13.60 | $15.16 | $12.47 | $11.02 | $6.72 |
Company Overview
Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Traditional Home Building and City Living. It also designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. In addition, the company develops, owns, and operates golf courses and country clubs; develops and sells land; and develops, operates, and rents apartments, as well as provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, it owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and manufacturing operations. The company serves move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. It has a strategic partnership with Equity Residential to develop new rental apartment communities in the United States markets. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.
Visit WebsiteRating Distribution
Strong Buy
1
6%
Buy / Outperform
9
50%
Hold / Neutral
7
39%
Sell / Underperform
1
6%
Analyst Consensus🟡 Mixed
10 Bullish8 Neutral/Bearish
Price Targets
$106
Average Target
↓ 24.2% Downside
Now
$48
Low
$106
Average
$175
High
Based on 20 analysts
Recent Analyst Actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 4th 2025 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Overweight | $161 |
| December 2nd 2025 | BTIG Research | Initiation | Neutral | - |
| October 7th 2025 | Evercore ISI | Downgrade | In-line | $160 |
| July 23rd 2025 | Seaport Research Partners | Upgrade | Buy | $161 |
| January 27th 2025 | Seaport Research Partners | Upgrade | Neutral | - |
| December 13th 2024 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Neutral | $150← $166 |
| December 10th 2024 | Keefe Bruyette | Downgrade | Market Perform | $164← $168 |
| October 25th 2024 | Wedbush | Upgrade | Outperform | $175 |
| August 5th 2024 | Seaport Research Partners | Downgrade | Sell | $108 |
| June 17th 2024 | Goldman | Upgrade | Neutral | $124← $112 |
| January 22nd 2024 | Seaport Research Partners | Downgrade | Neutral | - |
| January 8th 2024 | Wolfe Research | Upgrade | Outperform | $118 |
| November 2nd 2023 | Seaport Research Partners | Upgrade | Buy | $93 |
| October 17th 2023 | Wells Fargo | Initiation | Overweight | $80 |
| July 14th 2023 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Strong Buy | $100← $77 |
Earnings History & Surprises
TOLBeat Rate
83%
Last 18 quarters
Avg Surprise
+13.1%
EPS vs Estimate
Beats / Misses
15/3
Last 12 quarters
Latest EPS
$4.58
Q4 2025
EPS Surprise History
Q1 24
+26.4%
$2.25vs$1.78
Q2 24
-18.8%
$3.38vs$4.16
Q3 24
+8.8%
$3.60vs$3.31
Q4 24
+6.7%
$4.63vs$4.34
Q1 25
-12.1%
$1.75vs$1.99
Q2 25
+24.6%
$3.50vs$2.81
Q3 25
+3.6%
$3.73vs$3.60
Q4 25
-6.1%
$4.58vs$4.88
Beat Estimate
Missed Estimate
Quarterly EPS Details
| Period | Report Date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Q2 2026 | May 18, 2026 | — | — | — | — |
Q1 2026 | Feb 17, 2026 | $2.01 | — | — | — |
Q4 2025 | Dec 8, 2025 | $4.88 | $4.58 | -6.1% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2025 | Aug 19, 2025 | $3.60 | $3.73 | +3.6% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2025 | May 20, 2025 | $2.81 | $3.50 | +24.6% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2025 | Feb 18, 2025 | $1.99 | $1.75 | -12.1% | ✗ MISS |
Q4 2024 | Dec 9, 2024 | $4.34 | $4.63 | +6.7% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2024 | Aug 20, 2024 | $3.31 | $3.60 | +8.8% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2024 | May 21, 2024 | $4.16 | $3.38 | -18.8% | ✗ MISS |
Q1 2024 | Feb 20, 2024 | $1.78 | $2.25 | +26.4% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2023 | Dec 5, 2023 | $3.72 | $4.11 | +10.5% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2023 | Aug 22, 2023 | $2.84 | $3.73 | +31.3% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2023 | May 23, 2023 | $1.91 | $2.85 | +49.2% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2023 | Feb 21, 2023 | $1.41 | $1.70 | +20.6% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2022 | Dec 6, 2022 | $3.95 | $4.70 | +19.0% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2022 | Aug 23, 2022 | $2.30 | $2.35 | +2.2% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2022 | May 24, 2022 | $1.54 | $1.85 | +20.1% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2022 | Feb 22, 2022 | $1.15 | $1.24 | +7.8% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2021 | Dec 7, 2021 | $2.49 | $3.02 | +21.3% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2021 | Aug 24, 2021 | $1.54 | $1.87 | +21.4% | ✓ BEAT |
Latest News
JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on Toll Brothers, Lowers Price Target to $141
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Dec 12, 2025, 07:59 PM
Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Toll Brothers, Lowers Price Target to $141
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Dec 11, 2025, 09:12 PM•Also:
Barclays Maintains Underweight on Toll Brothers, Raises Price Target to $110
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Dec 11, 2025, 05:34 PM•Also:
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Market Perform on Toll Brothers, Lowers Price Target to $143
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Dec 11, 2025, 12:45 PM
Shares of household durable stocks are trading higher after the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points.
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Dec 10, 2025, 07:27 PM•Also: , ,
UBS Maintains Buy on Toll Brothers, Lowers Price Target to $181
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Dec 10, 2025, 04:38 PM•Also:
RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on Toll Brothers, Lowers Price Target to $144
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Dec 10, 2025, 02:32 PM
Toll Brothers shares are trading lower after the company reported mixed Q4 financial results.
📉 NegativeBenzinga•Dec 9, 2025, 12:56 PM
Toll Brothers shares are trading lower after the company reported mixed Q4 financial results.
📉 NegativeBenzinga•Dec 8, 2025, 09:47 PM
Toll Brothers Q4 Adj. EPS $4.58 Misses $4.89 Estimate, Sales $3.423B Beat $3.304B Estimate
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Dec 8, 2025, 09:30 PM
JP Morgan Upgrades Toll Brothers to Overweight, Announces $161 Price Target
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Dec 4, 2025, 02:31 PM
Shares of homebuilders and housing-linked stocks are trading higher amid a drop in Treasury yields. Additionally, investors weigh expectations of the next Fed Chair which could affect rate outlook.
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Dec 3, 2025, 07:34 PM•Also: , ,
Shares of homebuilders and housing-linked stocks are trading higher after NY Fed President Williams indicated he sees room for a further policy adjustment in the near term. A rate cut could help lift housing demand and construction.
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Nov 21, 2025, 03:10 PM•Also: , ,
B of A Securities Maintains Buy on Toll Brothers, Lowers Price Target to $150
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 10, 2025, 03:48 PM
Toll Brothers shares are trading lower after Evercore ISI downgraded the stock from Outperform to In-Line and lowered its price target from $169 to $160.
📉 NegativeBenzinga•Oct 7, 2025, 04:01 PM
Evercore ISI Group Downgrades Toll Brothers to In-Line, Lowers Price Target to $160
📉 NegativeBenzinga•Oct 7, 2025, 01:34 PM
Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Toll Brothers, Raises Price Target to $147
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 1, 2025, 04:01 PM•Also:
Toll Brothers To Launch Toll Brothers At Windborne Home Community In Schertz, Texas In Fall 2025
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Sep 24, 2025, 07:07 PM
B of A Securities Maintains Buy on Toll Brothers, Raises Price Target to $155
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Sep 18, 2025, 03:48 PM
Kennedy Wilson To Buy Toll Brothers' Rental Housing Platform For $347M
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Sep 18, 2025, 10:28 AM•Also:
Frequently Asked Questions about TOL
What is TOL's current stock price?
Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) is currently trading at $139.79 per share. The stock has moved +0.21% today.
What is the analyst price target for TOL?
The average analyst price target for TOL is $154.14, based on 1 analyst.
What sector is Toll Brothers, Inc. in?
Toll Brothers, Inc. operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically within the Residential Construction industry. The company is traded on the NYSE exchange.
What is TOL's market cap?
Toll Brothers, Inc. has a market capitalization of $13.47 billion, making it a large-cap company.
Does TOL pay dividends?
No, Toll Brothers, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.
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