/CAKE
CAKE Stock - The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
Consumer Cyclical|RestaurantsNASDAQ
$52.02+0.70%
+$0.36 (+0.70%) • Dec 19
68
GoAI Score
GoAI Score
Weighted average: Momentum (25%) + Sentiment (35%) + Risk (20%) + Value (20%). ≥70 = BUY, ≤35 = SELL.HOLD
Medium Confidence
Momentum
Momentum Score
Based on price vs 50-day MA (40%), 200-day MA (40%), and MA crossover (20%). Higher = stronger uptrend.52
Sentiment
Sentiment Score
Based on analyst price target upside. 50 = neutral, 100 = very bullish (25%+ upside expected).82
Risk Score
Risk Score
Based on stock beta (volatility). Higher score = lower risk. Red (<40) = high volatility, Green (>60) = stable.82
Price Target
Price Target
Average analyst price target from the last quarter. Shows expected upside/downside from current price.+15.8%upside
Target: $60.24
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ENTRY ZONE$51.50 – $52.54
TARGET (TP)$60.25
STOP LOSS$47.86
RISK/REWARD1:2.0
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Price Chart
Financial Statements
Revenue & Profitability Trend
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Revenue
Net Income (Profit)
Net Loss
Key Metrics
Market CapN/A
P/E RatioN/A
Beta0.96
52W High$69.70
52W Low$42.69
Avg VolumeN/A
Income Statement (Fiscal Year)
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.58B | $3.44B | $3.30B | $2.93B | $1.98B |
| Gross Profit | $2.78B | $1.41B | $1.28B | $1.20B | $746.31M |
| Gross Margin | 77.5% | 40.9% | 38.8% | 41.1% | 37.6% |
| Operating Income | $178.32M | $108.57M | $38.94M | $82.32M | $-347,437,000 |
| Net Income | $156.78M | $101.35M | $43.12M | $72.37M | $-253,365,000 |
| Net Margin | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | -12.8% |
| EPS | $3.28 | $2.10 | $0.87 | $1.03 | $-6.32 |
Company Overview
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates restaurants. It operates two bakeries that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company owns and operates 306 restaurants throughout the United States and Canada under brands, including 208 The Cheesecake Factory and 29 North Italia; and a collection of Fox Restaurant Concepts, as well as 29 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants under licensing agreements internationally. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.
Visit WebsiteRating Distribution
Strong Buy
0%
Buy / Outperform
9
47%
Hold / Neutral
8
42%
Sell / Underperform
2
11%
Analyst Consensus🔴 Bearish
9 Bullish10 Neutral/Bearish
Price Targets
$46
Average Target
↓ 11.7% Downside
Now
$29
Low
$46
Average
$75
High
Based on 22 analysts
Recent Analyst Actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 28th 2025 | Mizuho | Initiation | Outperform | $70 |
| July 11th 2025 | Oppenheimer | Reiterated | Outperform | $75← $65 |
| July 10th 2025 | Goldman | Downgrade | Neutral | $67 |
| June 25th 2025 | JP Morgan | Reiterated | Underweight | $58← $50 |
| January 7th 2025 | Oppenheimer | Upgrade | Outperform | $65 |
| December 5th 2024 | Goldman | Initiation | Buy | $56 |
| May 15th 2024 | Stephens | Reiterated | Overweight | $50← $44 |
| May 10th 2024 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Buy | $47← $38 |
| May 9th 2024 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Outperform | $42 |
| April 12th 2024 | Stephens | Resumed | Overweight | $44 |
| January 23rd 2024 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Underweight | $33 |
| December 21st 2023 | Wedbush | Upgrade | Outperform | $40← $34 |
| October 19th 2023 | Deutsche Bank | Initiation | Hold | $32 |
| October 5th 2023 | BofA Securities | Resumed | Neutral | $33 |
| July 18th 2023 | Piper Sandler | Initiation | Neutral | $36 |
Earnings History & Surprises
CAKEBeat Rate
61%
Last 18 quarters
Avg Surprise
-3.5%
EPS vs Estimate
Beats / Misses
11/6
1 met exactly
Latest EPS
$0.68
Q4 2025
EPS Surprise History
Q1 24
+8.1%
$0.80vs$0.74
Q2 24
+15.9%
$0.73vs$0.63
Q3 24
+9.0%
$1.09vs$1.00
Q4 24
+18.4%
$0.58vs$0.49
Q1 25
+14.3%
$1.04vs$0.91
Q2 25
+14.8%
$0.93vs$0.81
Q3 25
+9.4%
$1.16vs$1.06
Q4 25
+13.3%
$0.68vs$0.60
Beat Estimate
Missed Estimate
Quarterly EPS Details
| Period | Report Date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Q2 2026 | Apr 28, 2026 | — | — | — | — |
Q1 2026 | Feb 18, 2026 | $0.98 | — | — | — |
Q4 2025 | Oct 28, 2025 | $0.60 | $0.68 | +13.3% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2025 | Jul 29, 2025 | $1.06 | $1.16 | +9.4% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2025 | Apr 30, 2025 | $0.81 | $0.93 | +14.8% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2025 | Feb 19, 2025 | $0.91 | $1.04 | +14.3% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2024 | Oct 29, 2024 | $0.49 | $0.58 | +18.4% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2024 | Jul 31, 2024 | $1.00 | $1.09 | +9.0% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2024 | May 8, 2024 | $0.63 | $0.73 | +15.9% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2024 | Feb 21, 2024 | $0.74 | $0.80 | +8.1% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2023 | Nov 1, 2023 | $0.43 | $0.39 | -9.3% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2023 | Aug 2, 2023 | $0.82 | $0.88 | +7.3% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2023 | May 10, 2023 | $0.59 | $0.61 | +3.4% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2023 | Feb 22, 2023 | $0.56 | $0.56 | 0.0% | = MET |
Q4 2022 | Nov 1, 2022 | $0.28 | $-0.03 | -110.7% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2022 | Jul 27, 2022 | $0.77 | $0.52 | -32.5% | ✗ MISS |
Q2 2022 | Apr 27, 2022 | $0.51 | $0.47 | -7.8% | ✗ MISS |
Q1 2022 | Feb 16, 2022 | $0.59 | $0.49 | -16.9% | ✗ MISS |
Q4 2021 | Nov 3, 2021 | $0.70 | $0.65 | -7.1% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2021 | Jul 27, 2021 | $0.75 | $0.80 | +6.7% | ✓ BEAT |
Latest News
Shares of broader consumer discretionary stocks are trading higher. Softer-than-expected November CPI may be lifting broader market sentiment.
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Dec 18, 2025, 08:03 PM•Also: , ,
Freedom Capital Markets Initiates Coverage On The Cheesecake Factory with Hold Rating, Announces Price Target of $56
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Dec 17, 2025, 09:11 AM
Shares of restaurant stocks are trading higher after NY Fed President Williams indicated he sees room for a further policy adjustment in the near term. This has lifted overall market sentiment.
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Nov 21, 2025, 08:35 PM•Also: , ,
Argus Research Maintains Buy on The Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $55
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Nov 7, 2025, 04:49 PM
JP Morgan Maintains Underweight on Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $52
📉 NegativeBenzinga•Oct 30, 2025, 09:53 PM
Citigroup Maintains Buy on Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $65
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 29, 2025, 07:16 PM•Also:
Mizuho Maintains Outperform on Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $65
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 29, 2025, 06:18 PM
Raymond James Reiterates Outperform on Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $60
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 29, 2025, 02:35 PM
Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $55
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 29, 2025, 02:03 PM
Barclays Maintains Underweight on Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $48
📉 NegativeBenzinga•Oct 29, 2025, 01:38 PM•Also:
B of A Securities Maintains Neutral on Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $56
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 29, 2025, 11:56 AM
Stephens & Co. Maintains Overweight on Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $64
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 29, 2025, 11:13 AM
Cheesecake Factory Q3 Adj. EPS $0.68 Beats $0.60 Estimate, Sales $907.226M Miss $912.784M Estimate
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 28, 2025, 08:15 PM
Mizuho Initiates Coverage On Cheesecake Factory with Outperform Rating, Announces Price Target of $70
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Oct 28, 2025, 10:39 AM
Barclays Maintains Underweight on Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $50
📉 NegativeBenzinga•Oct 22, 2025, 04:42 PM•Also:
Raymond James Reiterates Outperform on Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $70
📈 PositiveBenzinga•Oct 16, 2025, 04:14 PM
Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $60
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 16, 2025, 01:22 PM
Citigroup Maintains Buy on Cheesecake Factory, Lowers Price Target to $68
➖ NeutralBenzinga•Oct 14, 2025, 03:46 PM•Also:
Frequently Asked Questions about CAKE
What is CAKE's current stock price?
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is currently trading at $52.02 per share. The stock has moved +0.70% today.
What is the analyst price target for CAKE?
The average analyst price target for CAKE is $60.25, based on 1 analyst.
What sector is The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated in?
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically within the Restaurants industry. The company is traded on the NASDAQ exchange.
What is CAKE's market cap?
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated has a market capitalization of $2.59 billion, making it a mid-cap company.
Does CAKE pay dividends?
No, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders.
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