PGR Stock - The Progressive Corporation
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Financial Statements
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $75.34B | $62.08B | $49.59B | $47.68B | $42.64B |
| Gross Profit | $20.90B | $11.76B | $7.55B | $10.34B | $14.24B |
| Gross Margin | 27.7% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 33.4% |
| Operating Income | $10.71B | $4.90B | $922.00M | $4.21B | $7.17B |
| Net Income | $8.48B | $3.90B | $722.00M | $3.35B | $5.70B |
| Net Margin | 11.3% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 7.0% | 13.4% |
| EPS | $14.45 | $6.61 | $1.19 | $5.69 | $9.71 |
The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company, provides personal and commercial auto, personal residential and commercial property, general liability, and other specialty property-casualty insurance products and related services in the United States. It operates in three segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, and Property. The Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and recreational vehicles (RV). This segment's products include personal auto insurance; and special lines products, including insurance for motorcycles, ATVs, RVs, watercrafts, snowmobiles, and related products. The Commercial Lines segment provides auto-related primary liability and physical damage insurance, and business-related general liability and property insurance for autos, vans, pick-up trucks, and dump trucks used by small businesses; tractors, trailers, and straight trucks primarily used by regional general freight and expeditor-type businesses, and long-haul operators; dump trucks, log trucks, and garbage trucks used by dirt, sand and gravel, logging, and coal-type businesses; and tow trucks and wreckers used in towing services and gas/service station businesses; as well as non-fleet and airport taxis, and black-car services. The Property segment writes residential property insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters, as well as offers personal umbrella insurance, and primary and excess flood insurance. The company also offers policy issuance and claims adjusting services; and acts as an agent to homeowner general liability, workers' compensation insurance, and other products. In addition, it provides reinsurance services. The company sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as directly on Internet through mobile devices, and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield, Ohio.
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Price Targets
Recent Analyst Actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 18th 2025 | William Blair | Downgrade | Market Perform | - |
| December 16th 2025 | Mizuho | Initiation | Neutral | $242 |
| November 17th 2025 | HSBC Securities | Upgrade | Buy | - |
| November 14th 2025 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Hold | - |
| October 20th 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Underweight | $214 |
| September 18th 2025 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Equal Weight | $265 |
| September 17th 2025 | BMO Capital Markets | Downgrade | Market Perform | $250 |
| September 16th 2025 | Wolfe Research | Initiation | Peer Perform | - |
| August 13th 2025 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Initiation | Neutral | $240 |
| August 13th 2025 | Citigroup | Initiation | Buy | $312 |
| July 17th 2025 | Evercore ISI | Downgrade | In-line | $275 |
| July 7th 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal Weight | $290 |
| April 28th 2025 | BofA Securities | Upgrade | Buy | $312 |
| April 17th 2025 | Keefe Bruyette | Downgrade | Market Perform | $288 |
| April 4th 2025 | BofA Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | $287 |
Earnings History & Surprises
PGREPS Surprise History
Quarterly EPS Details
| Period | Report Date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Q2 2026 | May 4, 2026 | — | — | — | — |
Q1 2026 | Feb 4, 2026 | $4.42 | — | — | — |
Q4 2025 | Oct 15, 2025 | $4.99 | $4.05 | -18.8% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2025 | Jul 16, 2025 | $4.48 | $4.88 | +8.9% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2025 | Apr 16, 2025 | $4.79 | $4.65 | -2.9% | ✗ MISS |
Q1 2025 | Jan 29, 2025 | $3.57 | $4.08 | +14.3% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2024 | Oct 15, 2024 | $3.67 | $3.59 | -2.2% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2024 | Jul 16, 2024 | $2.02 | $2.65 | +31.2% | ✓ BEAT |
Q2 2024 | May 15, 2024 | $3.21 | $3.73 | +16.2% | ✓ BEAT |
Q1 2024 | Jan 24, 2024 | $2.43 | $2.97 | +22.2% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2023 | Oct 13, 2023 | $1.72 | $2.09 | +21.5% | ✓ BEAT |
Q3 2023 | Jul 13, 2023 | $0.88 | $0.50 | -43.2% | ✗ MISS |
Q2 2023 | Apr 13, 2023 | $1.37 | $0.63 | -54.0% | ✗ MISS |
Q1 2023 | Jan 25, 2023 | $1.43 | $1.52 | +6.3% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2022 | Oct 13, 2022 | $1.24 | $0.49 | -60.5% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2022 | Jul 15, 2022 | $0.95 | $0.95 | 0.0% | = MET |
Q2 2022 | Apr 14, 2022 | $1.24 | $1.12 | -9.7% | ✗ MISS |
Q1 2022 | Jan 26, 2022 | $0.99 | $1.05 | +6.1% | ✓ BEAT |
Q4 2021 | Oct 14, 2021 | $0.21 | $0.14 | -33.3% | ✗ MISS |
Q3 2021 | Jul 15, 2021 | $1.17 | $1.51 | +29.1% | ✓ BEAT |
Latest News
Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Progressive, Lowers Price Target to $242
➖ NeutralKeefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Market Perform on Progressive, Raises Price Target to $250
📈 PositiveBMO Capital Maintains Market Perform on Progressive, Lowers Price Target to $253
➖ NeutralProgressive Reports November 2025 Results; Net Income $958M, EPS $1.63; Net Premiums Written +11% To $6.193B
📈 PositiveMizuho Initiates Coverage On Progressive with Neutral Rating, Announces Price Target of $242
➖ NeutralB of A Securities Maintains Buy on Progressive, Lowers Price Target to $348
➖ NeutralBMO Capital Maintains Market Perform on Progressive, Lowers Price Target to $256
➖ NeutralBMO Capital Maintains Market Perform on Progressive, Raises Price Target to $260
📈 PositiveWells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Progressive, Raises Price Target to $247
📈 PositiveProgressive Reports October 2025 Results; Net Income $846M, EPS $1.44; Net Premiums Written +6% To $7.002B
📈 PositiveKeefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Market Perform on Progressive, Lowers Price Target to $246
➖ NeutralGoldman Sachs Maintains Buy on Progressive, Lowers Price Target to $245
➖ NeutralMorgan Stanley Downgrades Progressive to Underweight, Lowers Price Target to $214
📉 NegativeRaymond James Maintains Outperform on Progressive, Lowers Price Target to $265
➖ NeutralKeefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Market Perform on Progressive, Lowers Price Target to $262
📉 NegativeBMO Capital Maintains Market Perform on Progressive, Lowers Price Target to $247
➖ NeutralWells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Progressive, Lowers Price Target to $246
➖ NeutralB of A Securities Maintains Buy on Progressive, Raises Price Target to $351
📈 PositiveProgressive stock sinks after Q3 earnings hurt by charge on excess Florida auto policy profits
📉 NegativeProgressive stock drops after earnings miss, combined ratio tops 100% in September
📉 NegativeFrequently Asked Questions about PGR
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