Apple Nears $4 Trillion Market Value Milestone with Anticipated Disruption by Apple Intelligence
Magical Investor
December 24, 2024
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As of the close on December 23, Eastern Time in the United States, Apple's stock price rose slightly, hitting an all - time high, and its market value reached $3.859 trillion.
In terms of news, Apple is adjusting its strategic focus, concentrating on the development of artificial intelligence, robotics, and smart home sectors, especially innovation in the smart home control center.
Meanwhile, Wall Street investment bank Wedbush Securities stated on Monday that Apple's newly launched iPhone 16 series this year will experience a robust holiday sales season, and the "most important" part of "Apple Intelligence" is just beginning to be rolled out to the market successively.
The Super Sales Cycle of iPhone 16
Renowned analyst Dan Ives pointed out in his latest report that Apple is on the verge of a strong holiday sales season, which could kick - start a "super cycle" as hundreds of millions of people worldwide are set to upgrade to new iPhones with artificial intelligence capabilities in the coming months.
It is estimated that around 300 million iPhones globally have not been upgraded in over four years. He believes that with the start of the artificial - intelligence - driven Apple Intelligence upgrade cycle, Apple may sell a record - breaking 240 million new iPhones or more in the 2025 fiscal year (ending in September next year).

His prediction is higher than the market - wide expected 207.6 million units.
"Based on our recent survey of Apple's supply chain, we believe Apple is about to have a very strong holiday sales season, as the trend of existing users upgrading to the iPhone 16 series models will continue through the shopping season covering Christmas and New Year's holidays," the report said.
He wrote, "We believe that the success of the iPhone 16 and the upcoming strong holiday sales season will mark the starting point of Apple's growth revival in the next 12 to 18 months, and this recovery will begin in the quarter of December this year."
As far as I know, the price of the iPhone 16 has recently dropped significantly in the Chinese market. In China, there is a tradition of preparing "New Year's goods".
Major e - commerce platforms are also taking this opportunity to carry out various subsidy activities to reduce the price of the iPhone 16 for promotion. It is expected that the sales volume of the iPhone 16 in China will surge in the first quarter of next year.
Earlier this month, media reports stated that Apple has been in in - depth negotiations with Chinese technology giants Tencent and ByteDance regarding the "Apple Intelligence" cooperation in China.
And according to earlier media reports, the company has also negotiated with Baidu. This cooperation will also boost the sales of the iPhone 16 in the Chinese region.
In the 2024 fiscal year, Apple's revenue in Greater China was $66.95 billion, accounting for 17% of its total revenue of $391.04 billion. It is estimated that 100 million iPhones in China are due for an upgrade this year.
Smart Home: Apple's Goal for the Coming Year
According to the latest revelation by renowned technology journalist Mark Gurman, after facing some setbacks in 2024, Apple is eyeing three growth opportunities in the new year: artificial intelligence, robotics, and smart home.
Apple canceled its car project this year, and the head - mounted display Vision Pro received a lukewarm response. Looking ahead to next year, Apple's two opportunities also face their respective challenges. The artificial intelligence project is still catching up with its tech peers, and efforts in robotics will take several years to yield results.
In this context, the smart home will be the area where Apple is likely to have the greatest impact in 2025. "After years of Amazon and Google dominating the market, Apple hopes to make a splash with an AI - integrated smart home control center."
According to the latest report from DigiTimes, Apple plans to release a new HomePod in 2025. This device will be equipped with a 7 - inch LCD screen, powered by the A18 chip, and support Apple Intelligence, with a focus on smart home functions.
This HomePod with a screen is regarded as an important layout for Apple in the smart home field. According to reports, this device will use an LCD screen provided by Tianma, with each screen costing only $10, which is relatively low - cost.

It is worth noting that this device may run a new homeOS operating system, with its main interface centered around widgets, making it convenient for users to customize home management functions.
It will also support HomeKit and Apple Intelligence and can serve as a control hub for smart homes. In addition to controlling smart appliances, this device can be connected to home cameras to display real - time monitoring footage and even support FaceTime video calls.
Judging from the rumors, the new HomePod with a screen is no longer just a speaker but an all - around smart home assistant. It is currently unclear whether Apple will classify this device under the HomePod series or give it a new name.

At the same time, Apple is developing a smart doorbell with facial recognition functionality, similar to Face ID on the iPhone, which can automatically open the door.

This doorbell may be compatible with existing third - party door locks that are Apple HomeKit - compatible and may collaborate with lock manufacturers to provide a complete system.

This strategy may pose a challenge to competitors such as Amazon Ring and Google Nest.
Moreover, smart home devices and services are expected to drive the sales of iCloud subscription services, as customers can store videos on iCloud.
With Apple's market value continuously reaching new highs, I believe that Apple can overcome its late - start drawback and secure a place in the smart home market. Judging from Apple's current stock price trend, it is still in a rectangular upward - trending oscillation range.
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