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US Core CPI (MoM) at 0.2%, Below Market Expectations

GoAI MacroCast
GoAI MacroCast
October 24, 2025

The United States' Core Consumer Price Index (MoM) for September registered at 0.2%, falling below the forecast of 0.3%. This figure represents a deceleration from the previous month's 0.3% increase, indicating a moderation in underlying inflationary pressures.

 

Potential Impacts

Equity markets might experience upward pressure as lower-than-expected inflation could reduce the likelihood of aggressive monetary tightening by the central bank. Bond yields could decline in response to tempered inflation expectations, leading to an increase in bond prices.

 

The US Dollar may weaken against major currencies as the interest rate differential narrows, making dollar-denominated assets less attractive. Commodity prices might see limited direct impact, but a weaker dollar generally makes commodities cheaper for international buyers.

 

Credit markets could benefit from lower borrowing costs, potentially stimulating business investment and consumer spending. Real estate markets may see sustained activity due to a more favorable interest rate environment, supporting affordability and demand.