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US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov) at 51.9, Below Market Expectations

GoAI MacroCast
GoAI MacroCast
November 21, 2025

The United States S&P Global Manufacturing PMI registered 51.9 in November, falling below the market forecast of 52.0. This figure marks a decline from the previous month's reading of 52.5, indicating a slight deceleration in the manufacturing sector's expansion.

 

Potential Impacts

The lower-than-expected manufacturing PMI suggests a potential softening in the US industrial sector, which can temper expectations for economic growth. This development influences equity markets, as slower manufacturing activity often correlates with reduced corporate earnings and cautious investor sentiment.

 

In fixed income markets, a weaker PMI reading can lead to increased demand for government bonds, driven by their safe-haven appeal and potentially lower interest rate expectations. This shift might also reduce the likelihood of aggressive monetary policy tightening by the central bank, impacting short-term yields.

 

For the US dollar, a downturn in manufacturing data can exert downward pressure, as it signals a less robust economic outlook compared to other major economies. This can affect international capital flows, potentially directing investment toward regions with stronger economic indicators and higher returns.