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US S&P Global Services PMI at 54.1, Below Market Expectations

GoAI MacroCast
GoAI MacroCast
December 3, 2025

The US S&P Global Services PMI registered 54.1 in November, falling short of the forecast of 55.0. This indicates a moderation from the previous month's reading of 54.8, suggesting a slight deceleration in the services sector's expansion.

 

Potential Impacts

Equity markets experience downward pressure as the services sector's expansion moderates, signaling potentially slower corporate earnings growth. Bond yields generally decrease due to perceptions of reduced economic vigor, increasing demand for fixed-income assets.

 

The US dollar faces depreciation against major currencies as this data point reduces the likelihood of aggressive monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve. This also affects international capital flows, potentially directing investment away from the US in search of higher returns elsewhere.

 

Credit markets show increased caution, leading to slightly tighter lending conditions as economic growth forecasts are revised downwards. Consumer spending growth may also temper, reflecting a more cautious outlook on economic stability and personal financial prospects.