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Pop Mart Surges Over 9%! $31.5M Buyback Fights Back Against Short Sellers

Magical Investor
Magical Investor
January 20, 2026
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Pop Mart, which was added to the stock pick pool, saw its share price surge by more than 9% in a single day. Click to Find out more
 
 

As shares neared a 50% collapse, Pop Mart stepped in.

 

After the market close on January 19, Pop Mart announced it had repurchased 1.4 million shares at prices ranging from HK$177.7 to HK$181.2, totaling approximately HK$251 million ($31.5 million).

 

Public records show Pop Mart's last share repurchase was in February 2024, when its stock traded below HK$20. Over the next 18 months, the viral popularity of its core IP, "LABUBU," transformed the company into a capital darling, with its stock price soaring to an all-time high of HK$339.8 in August 2025.

 

Following that peak, Pop Mart entered a months-long correction. On January 19, 2026, shares hit an intraday low of HK$174.3, nearly halving from the peak. However, the stock rebounded to close 1.23% higher that day.

 

Media reports interpreted the buyback as a strong signal of confidence from management to investors.

 

 

On January 20, Pop Mart opened sharply higher, reaching an intraday peak of HK$199.6. As of press time, the stock was up 9% at HK$197.2.

Fundamentals vs. Sentiment

Despite the recent price drop, Q3 2025 earnings showed robust growth:

 

Total Revenue: +245% to +250% YoY.

 

China Revenue: +185% to +190% YoY.

 

Overseas Revenue: +365% to +370% YoY.

 

Institutions including Pacific Securities, Guohai Securities, Founder Securities, and BOCOM International all rated the results as "better than expected."

Why the Disconnect?

BOCOM International noted in a report that many investors equate Pop Mart solely with Labubu, viewing the character's cooling hype as a sign of fundamental deterioration. However, the firm argues Pop Mart is not a single-IP toy company but a trendy toy IP creation platform.

 

Its true "moat" is its ability to continuously create and commercialize new IPs, not just ride the wave of one character.

 

While The Monsters (Labubu's line) currently contributes significantly to revenue, the long-term view remains optimistic about the company's ability to replicate or even surpass Labubu's success with new IPs.

Seeking New Growth Curves

Pop Mart has been aggressively pursuing cross-border collaborations to diversify its revenue streams. In January 2026 alone:

 

MOLLY x Honor: Launched the Honor 500 Pro MOLLY 20th Anniversary Edition.

 

The Monsters x Beast: Partnered with home decor brands to launch the "Crush On You" floral and home textile collection.

 

Physical Retail: Launched gold products in offline stores and collaborated with Tmall Black Box.

Huatai Securities Identifies Three Key "Expectation Gaps"

In a January 20 report, Huatai Securities argued that the current market pessimism has created a valuation window, highlighting three critical misperceptions:

 

1. Resilience of Overseas Markets is Masked by Online Data

The Observation: Investors are fixated on declining TikTok Shop sales (e.g., -10% QoQ in the U.S.).
 
The Reality: This ignores the omnichannel shift. In Q3, North American physical stores faced severe stockouts, forcing 60-70% of sales online. In Q4, as inventory normalized and 12 new stores opened, sales naturally migrated back to physical locations. Total omnichannel sales likely remained flat or slightly up QoQ, indicating solid underlying demand.
 
Southeast Asia: Similarly, while TikTok sales softened, offline store count doubled. The shift to larger flagship stores represents channel optimization, not fading popularity.
 
2. A New IP Echelon is Forming

The market underestimates the progress of IP diversification.

China: Labubu's share of Douyin sales dropped to ~30% in Q4, while new IPs like Crybaby and The Monsters (other characters) gained share.

Indonesia: New IPs now account for over 50% of TikTok sales.

Europe/U.S.: High Labubu concentration reflects the early stage of market development (consumers search for known hits online). As physical stores expand, new IPs will have better opportunities to convert customers through offline experiences.
 
3. The Transition to an IP Ecosystem is Not Priced In

The market still values Pop Mart as a toy manufacturer, focusing on monthly sales data, rather than recognizing its evolution into a content-driven IP conglomerate.

Content Strategy: The animated series LABUBU & Friends is in production, and Sony Pictures has acquired the film rights (to be directed by Paul King of Paddington fame).

Following Sanrio's (Hello Kitty) playbook of leveraging Netflix and YouTube, content is expected to be a key lever for breaking into new demographics.

Ecosystem: The expansion of the Beijing theme park and new ventures into desserts and accessories are building a deeper emotional connection with fans.

Conclusion

Huatai Securities assigns a 27x 2026 P/E ratio, emphasizing the scarcity of Pop Mart's business model.
 
As a global leader in artist IP incubation and operation, the company is well-positioned to maintain rapid growth and evolve into a world-class trendy toy IP platform.

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