Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock logo

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

BAER

NASDAQIndustrialsSecurity & Protection Services

Previous close

$1.22

+$0.07 · +6.09%

Aug 21, 4:00 PM ET

BAER company overview

Regular session · ET · Market data may be delayed.

GoAI snapshot

AI-powered factor overview

Jul 10, 2026

GoAI score

Hold

Wait — insufficient conviction to act

Valuation

47

Fair Value

Momentum

38

Weakening

Sentiment

65

Bullish

Risk resilience

40

Elevated Risk

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Company profile

Company website

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, LLC, established in 2014, specializes in delivering aerial services for wildfire management and suppression to various U.S. state government entities. The company's operations are headquartered in Belgrade, Montana.

Industry
Security & Protection Services
Sector
Industrials
Headquarters
US
CEO
Sam Davis
Listed since
Mar 17, 2021
Employees
235

Market position

Day range

Current $1.22

52-week range

Current $1.22

Open
$1.25
Previous close
$1.15
Volume
1.5M
1.77× average
Average volume
849.44K
Average daily volume
Market cap
70.32M USD
Beta
0.35
Market reference 1
50-day average
$1.7315
-29.54% below average
200-day average
$2.0236
-39.71% below average

Financials

Financial snapshot

Latest / TTM

Valuation & yield

Enterprise value
312.81M USD
P/E (TTM)
-1.69×
P/B (TTM)
2.01×
P/S (TTM)
0.61×
EV / EBITDA
7.33×
Earnings yield
4.17%
Free cash flow yield
-64.64%
Dividend yield
0.00%

Profitability & efficiency

Gross margin
38.10%
Operating margin
0.67%
Net margin
-10.77%
Return on equity
6.40%
Return on assets
1.25%
Return on invested capital
4.86%

Financial health

Debt / equity
7.81×
Current ratio
2.43×
Altman Z-score
-1.3
Piotroski F-score
1 of 9

Financial statements

Margin trends

Profitability as a percentage of reported revenue.

Gross marginOperating marginNet margin
Gross, operating, and net margin trends58%-5%-69%-132%Gross margin, FY2021: 32.51%Gross margin, FY2022: 26.95%Gross margin, FY2023: 38.03%Gross margin, FY2024: 41.72%Gross margin, FY2025: 42.08%Operating margin, FY2021: 4.04%Operating margin, FY2022: -48.78%Operating margin, FY2023: -86.19%Operating margin, FY2024: 5.39%Operating margin, FY2025: 12.54%Net margin, FY2021: -16.61%Net margin, FY2022: -90.81%Net margin, FY2023: -115.97%Net margin, FY2024: -15.79%Net margin, FY2025: 3.37%FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Gross margin FY2021 32.51%. Gross margin FY2022 26.95%. Gross margin FY2023 38.03%. Gross margin FY2024 41.72%. Gross margin FY2025 42.08%. Operating margin FY2021 4.04%. Operating margin FY2022 -48.78%. Operating margin FY2023 -86.19%. Operating margin FY2024 5.39%. Operating margin FY2025 12.54%. Net margin FY2021 -16.61%. Net margin FY2022 -90.81%. Net margin FY2023 -115.97%. Net margin FY2024 -15.79%. Net margin FY2025 3.37%.

Income trends

Revenue

122.83M USD+24.56%

Operating income

15.4M USD+189.58%

Net income

4.14M USD+19.71M USD
Income trends across reported periods142.85M USD62.77M USD−17.3M USD−97.38M USDRevenue, FY2021: 39.38M USDRevenue, FY2022: 46.39M USDRevenue, FY2023: 66.71M USDRevenue, FY2024: 98.61M USDRevenue, FY2025: 122.83M USDOperating income, FY2021: 1.59M USDOperating income, FY2022: −22.63M USDOperating income, FY2023: −57.5M USDOperating income, FY2024: 5.32M USDOperating income, FY2025: 15.4M USDNet income, FY2021: −6.54M USDNet income, FY2022: −42.13M USDNet income, FY2023: −77.36M USDNet income, FY2024: −15.57M USDNet income, FY2025: 4.14M USDFY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue FY2021 39.38M USD. Revenue FY2022 46.39M USD. Revenue FY2023 66.71M USD. Revenue FY2024 98.61M USD. Revenue FY2025 122.83M USD. Operating income FY2021 1.59M USD. Operating income FY2022 −22.63M USD. Operating income FY2023 −57.5M USD. Operating income FY2024 5.32M USD. Operating income FY2025 15.4M USD. Net income FY2021 −6.54M USD. Net income FY2022 −42.13M USD. Net income FY2023 −77.36M USD. Net income FY2024 −15.57M USD. Net income FY2025 4.14M USD.
Metric (USD)FY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022FY2021
Revenue122.83M USD98.61M USD66.71M USD46.39M USD39.38M USD
Cost of goods sold71.15M USD57.48M USD41.34M USD33.89M USD26.58M USD
Gross profit51.68M USD41.14M USD25.37M USD12.5M USD12.8M USD
Research and development365.63K USD
Selling, general, and administrative36.28M USD35.82M USD82.86M USD35.13M USD10.85M USD
Operating expenses36.28M USD35.82M USD82.86M USD35.13M USD11.22M USD
Interest expense23.26M USD23.71M USD23.22M USD20.02M USD9.29M USD
Depreciation and amortization15.47M USD17.45M USD11.09M USD9.09M USD6.67M USD
Operating income15.4M USD5.32M USD−57.5M USD−22.63M USD1.59M USD
Net income4.14M USD−15.57M USD−77.36M USD−42.13M USD−6.54M USD

Company facts updated Aug 24, 2026.

Earnings

EPS beat rate
30%
3 beats, 7 misses, 0 met estimates
Average EPS surprise
-55.29%
10 comparable reports
Latest EPS result
-0.13
Estimate -0.03 · Miss by 333.33%

EPS: actual versus estimate

Recent quarterly results

ActualEstimate
Quarterly EPS actual values compared with estimates0.710.21-0.29-0.79Q1 '25MissQ2 '25BeatQ3 '25BeatQ4 '25BeatQ1 '26MissQ2 '26MissQ3 '26MissQ4 '26Estimate
Q1 2025, reported Mar 13, 2025: actual -0.36, estimate -0.34, surprise -5.88%, Miss. Q2 2025, reported May 8, 2025: actual -0.41, estimate -0.5, surprise +18.00%, Beat. Q3 2025, reported Aug 7, 2025: actual -0.12, estimate -0.28, surprise +57.14%, Beat. Q4 2025, reported Nov 6, 2025: actual 0.37, estimate 0.32, surprise +15.62%, Beat. Q1 2026, reported Mar 5, 2026: actual -0.4, estimate -0.3, surprise -33.33%, Miss. Q2 2026, reported May 6, 2026: actual -0.69, estimate -0.37, surprise -86.49%, Miss. Q3 2026, reported Aug 6, 2026: actual -0.13, estimate -0.03, surprise -333.33%, Miss. Q4 2026, reported Nov 5, 2026: actual —, estimate 0.607, surprise —, Comparison unavailable.

Revenue: actual versus estimate

Recent quarterly results

ActualEstimate
Quarterly Revenue actual values compared with estimates89.82M61.58M33.34M5.1MQ1 '25BeatQ2 '25BeatQ3 '25MissQ4 '25BeatQ1 '26BeatQ2 '26MissQ3 '26MissQ4 '26Estimate
Q1 2025, reported Mar 13, 2025: actual 15.59M USD, estimate 9.7M USD, surprise +60.67%, Beat. Q2 2025, reported May 8, 2025: actual 15.65M USD, estimate 6M USD, surprise +160.77%, Beat. Q3 2025, reported Aug 7, 2025: actual 30.75M USD, estimate 48.4M USD, surprise -36.46%, Miss. Q4 2025, reported Nov 6, 2025: actual 67.89M USD, estimate 48.4M USD, surprise +40.26%, Beat. Q1 2026, reported Mar 5, 2026: actual 8.55M USD, estimate 6.5M USD, surprise +31.49%, Beat. Q2 2026, reported May 6, 2026: actual 8.51M USD, estimate 17.23M USD, surprise -50.59%, Miss. Q3 2026, reported Aug 6, 2026: actual 30.49M USD, estimate 37.04M USD, surprise -17.68%, Miss. Q4 2026, reported Nov 5, 2026: actual —, estimate 83.61M USD, surprise —, Comparison unavailable.

Analyst ratings

Third-party consensus; not a GoAI recommendation.

Analyst price target

Average target

$3.67

200.82% upside
Past 12 months12-month forecastHigh $4.00Average $3.67Low $3.00

Recent analyst actions

1 institution

BAER news

BAER peers

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